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TOUGHEST TEST
PAUL GOYDOS
May 09, 2011
By compiling the results from every round of every stroke-play event on Tour—including the four majors—from 2003 to '09, North Carolina finance professors Robert Connolly and Richard Rendleman created a model showing how each player should theoretically play in each tournament, then ran 10,000 simulations of every event to determine which was the most difficult to win. Connolly and Rendleman calculated that the Players, with its crack field of the world's 144 best pros—no aging past champions, no amateurs, no club pros—is the toughest tournament on Tour.
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May 09, 2011

Toughest Test

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TOURNAMENT AVG. RANK
Players Championship 2.71
PGA Championship 3.14
U.S. Open 3.43
British Open 3.71
Masters 4.57
Barclays 7.33
Deutsche Bank 7.33
Bridgestone 7.86

By compiling the results from every round of every stroke-play event on Tour—including the four majors—from 2003 to '09, North Carolina finance professors Robert Connolly and Richard Rendleman created a model showing how each player should theoretically play in each tournament, then ran 10,000 simulations of every event to determine which was the most difficult to win. Connolly and Rendleman calculated that the Players, with its crack field of the world's 144 best pros—no aging past champions, no amateurs, no club pros—is the toughest tournament on Tour.

[This article contains a table. Please see hardcopy of magazine or PDF.]

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